East Carolina vs Appalachian State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The East Carolina Pirates visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Boone.

Appalachian State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The East Carolina vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs Appalachian State Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 77.5% confidence.

East Carolina vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 76.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Appalachian State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)

  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -6.52% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • East Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • East Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

East Carolina is winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .338

East Carolina was winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Appalachian State is winless (0-3) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Appalachian State was winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Appalachian State is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .338

Appalachian State has gained 3,525 yards on 265 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 2,643 yards on 172 receptions (15.4 YPR) since the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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