Updated 2022 MLS Cup Odds Tracker & Betting Preview: LAFC Establishing Dominance With Bale, Chiellini Adding to Powerhouse

2022 MLS Cup Futures Odds

Odds via'BetMGM'updated July 7. Learn more about American odds here.

Team Odds Implied Probability
Los Angeles FC +290 25.6%
New York City FC +750 11.8%
Austin FC +875 10.3%
Philadelphia Union +900 10.0%
New York Red Bulls +1150 8.0%
CF Montreal +1250 7.4%
Real Salt Lake +1250 7.4%
Seattle Sounders +1400 6.7%
Nashville SC +1600 5.9%
New England Revolution +1600 5.9%
Orlando City +1650 5.7%
FC Dallas +1800 5.3%
Los Angeles Galaxy +2000 4.8%
FC Cincinnati +2500 3.9%
Atlanta United +2800 3.5%
Minnesota United +2800 3.5%
Portland Timbers +3000 3.2%
Colorado Rapids +3500 2.8%
Houston Dynamo +3500 2.8%
Columbus Crew +4000 2.4%
Toronto FC +4000 2.4%
Sporting Kansas City +4000 2.4%
Inter Miami +5000 2.0%
DC United +5000 2.0%
Charlotte FC +6600 1.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps +8000 1.2%
San Jose Earthquakes +10000 1.0%
Chicago Fire +12500 0.8%

Title Updates By Week

July 7:'The team that has been favored to win the MLS Cup all year has continued to pull away in the odds.

Los Angeles FC is now down to +290 as it picks up result after result. The Western Conference powerhouse is the league leader in points despite having a game in hand on a number of the other top teams.

Outside of the peak of the odds table, things have remained fairly stable. Austin FC is proceeding to make a push for legitimacy ,while New York City FC trails behind LAFC on the board.

June 8:'As Los Angeles FC continues to keep a hold on the MLS title race, a surprise name has made its way toward the top of the betting odds table.

Austin FC opened the year at +6600, but the Texas-based club has jumped up to +1200 at BetMGM. The club has totaled seven wins and three draws in 14 games, good enough for a fourth-place spot in the Western Conference.

Five teams are within five points at the top of the Eastern Conference, but leader and MLS Cup defending champion New York City FC slots in at +650 to repeat.

April 22:'As we move deeper into the season, it appears that Los Angeles FC is pulling away as a hefty favorite for the MLS Cup after taking 16 of their opening possible 21 points. The gap between LAFC at +500 and the Sounders/Union at +900 is the biggest we’ve seen thus far on the year.

The Union are another team that are continuing to have shorter and shorter odds after maintaining consistency through seven games. Like LA, the Union have taken 16 of 21 available points and sit atop their conference.

Austin FC is another squad that is sneaking up in the oddsmakers eyes as the team that opened at +6600 has had its odds halved to +3300 through seven fixtures.

April 7:'After an undefeated start to the campaign which has included four wins and just one draw, LAFC is back in the driver’s seat for the MLS Cup.

Interestingly, despite a 1-1-3 start to the season, the New England Revolution are still the third-favorite to take the crown. Perhaps oddsmakers respect a squad that includes reigning player of the year Carles Gil among other talented players, but it’s been a rough opening five games for the ‘Revs.

Philadelphia has the same odds as the Revolution, but the Union opened the season red-hot with four wins and a draw, much like their West Coast counterparts in Los Angeles.

March 7:'We’re only two weeks into the season, but we’re already learning a lot about MLS teams.

Austin FC is vying to be one of the surprise teams of the season as it opened its campaign with a combined 10-1 goal differential with drubbings of FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami. Austin’s odds halved from +6600 to +3300 after the victories.

New England established sole control of the favorite spot, while the New York Red Bulls, Los Angeles Galaxy and D.C. United have had their odds cut after two-win starts.

Feb. 24: Oddsmakers have made three teams the clear favorites as the season gets underway. New England, Seattle and Los Angeles FC come into the year as equal favorites at +700, while reigning champion New York City FC sits right behind at +1000 odds.

That said, it appears we have a wide-open race as we head into the first weekend of the season.

MLS Overview & Quick Hits

*All entries by Ian Quillen

Overview: Atlanta is two years removed from its last major trophy, but the club has made considerable gains after parting with the toxic presence of manager Gabriel Heinze in July after earning 38 points from its final 21 league matches.

Ezequiel Barco is out. Thaigo Almada is in. And club all-time leading scorer Josef Martinez has a full season under his belt following an ACL tear that kept him out of the 2020 campaign.

There's a potential for a return to the club's early winning ways. There's also enormous pressure on Gonzalo Pineda in his first managerial job.

Quillen’s Forecast: Low floor; high ceiling.

Overview: Los Verdes improved late in the season after Moussa Djitte assumed the No. 9 role and let their other attacking pieces play their preferred positions.

However, Djitte was just the most serviceable option and far from a star at the MLS level. No one else on this roster is going to light the net on fire, and despite adding some defensive reinforcements, it might not be enough to fix what was one of the worst back lines in MLS in 2021.

This feels like an improved club in 2022, but a lot will have to go right for Austin to reach its first postseason.

Quillen’s Forecast: Modest progress, but still no playoffs.

Overview:' It's never a great sign when your manager publicly declares his club is “screwed” before it plays a single game in MLS. Yet, perhaps it's good someone in Charlotte is practicing realism.

Expansion teams can get up to speed quickly in MLS, but more often that's a Year No. 2 ask. It's clear this David Tepper-owned franchise wants to be the next LAFC or Atlanta, even if its roster isn't reflective of that.

Replicating those clubs takes an exceptional roster build and some good fortune. Charlotte is already behind in the latter category, with a move for Venezuelan winger Darwin Machis falling apart just before the season.

Quillen’s Forecast: Patience is a virtue.

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