The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on Tuesday, August 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Tigers vs Pirates Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 47-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 50-55 ATS.

Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+16.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Javier Baez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+10.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
• Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Connor Joe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 away games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 83 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 51 away games (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 51 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 away games (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 61% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 55-51 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -2.24% ROI).

• 47-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 2.54% ROI
• 55-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 2.38% ROI
• 47-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.75 Units / -11.04% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 50-55 against the Run Line (-19.05 Units / -13.73% ROI).

• 47-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -1.38% ROI
• 54-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 3.29% ROI
• 46-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -11.28% ROI

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Manning has allowed a BABIP of .216 this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (64/283) against Matt Manning this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.

Matt Manning has thrown breaking pitches 77% of the time (143/185) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.

47% of Matt Manning’s strikeouts are looking this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Johan Oviedo has walked 31 of 186 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

12 of Johan Oviedo’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 6th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 92nd Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (289/515) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

  
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