The South Alabama Jaguars (6-5) visit Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (6-5) on Nov. 25 in San Marcos.
South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The South Alabama vs. Texas State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 68.4% confidence.
South Alabama vs Texas State Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Texas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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South Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Best South Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Alabama players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jamaal Pritchett has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Caullin Lacy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Carter Bradley has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Carter Bradley has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- La’Damian Webb has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.8 Units / -31.15% ROI).
- South Alabama is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -20.21% ROI
- South Alabama is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- South Alabama is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- Texas State is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.05 Units / 34.85% ROI
- Texas State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI
- Texas State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI
South Alabama was 8-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .427
South Alabama is 11-2 (.647) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 11th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .464
South Alabama is 10-1 (.769) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 16th-best in FBS; Average: .556
South Alabama is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: .567
Texas State is 3-9 (.231) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 31st-worst in FBS; Average: .405
Texas State was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .414
Texas State was 1-6 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for 18th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Texas State is 2-8 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .328
Texas State’s WRs has averaged 25.3 targets per game this season — 21st-highest among FBS WRs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for 24th-worst among FBS defenses.