The Florida State Seminoles (3-8) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on the Florida Gators (5-6) on Nov. 25 in Gainesville.
Florida St is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Florida St vs. Florida Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Florida St vs Florida Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 68.3% confidence.
Florida St vs Florida Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida St and Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Florida St Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida State has hit the Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Best Florida St Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida St players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jordan Travis has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jordan Travis has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.40 Units / 89% ROI)
- Trey Benson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Keon Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Johnny Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Best Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Graham Mertz has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Trevor Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ricky Pearsall has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kahleil Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Florida St Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida St is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- Florida St is 10-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 4.94% ROI
- Florida St is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.4% ROI
- Florida St is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.65 Units / -30.29% ROI
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).
- Florida is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -3.01% ROI
- Florida is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- Florida is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Florida State is undefeated (7-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415
Florida State is 17-1 (.895) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .532
Florida State is undefeated (8-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440
Florida State is 6-1 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .369
Florida is 6-16 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .510
Florida is 5-14 (.263) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Florida was 2-6 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for 35th-worst in FBS; Average: .427
Florida was 2-6 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495