The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-165) on Monday, August 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 40-62 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 45-56 ATS.
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 38 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 55 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 34 away games (+12.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 60 games (+23.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 58 games (+20.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 40 of his last 51 games at home (+18.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+17.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 54 of their last 101 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 56 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 46-56 against the Run Line (-19.05 Units / -14.28% ROI).
- 40-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 49-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -4.38% ROI
- 49-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.61% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 45-56 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -10.12% ROI).
- 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -7.48% ROI
- 47-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -4.08% ROI
- 48-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -3.03% ROI
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (22/136) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has walked 8 of 47 batters (17%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 35% (73 SO in 207 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (66/111) against Brad Keller in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Kopech: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has walked 15 of 72 batters (21%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 24 of 159 left-handed batters (15%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .175 (32-for-183) against Michael Kopech this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (76/397) against Michael Kopech since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.