The Colorado Rockies (+145) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Monday, March 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rockies vs Brewers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rockies are 5-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-12 ATS.
Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Sean Bouchard has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+6.12 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -29.13% ROI).
- 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -38.32% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -41.16% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 33.08% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -18.28% ROI).
- 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -15.63% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -22.96% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 14.57% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (333/618) of opposing batters since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit .329 (68-for-207) against Jose Urena last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.
Jose Urena located 64% of his pitches down (573/897) vs left-handed batters last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Jose Urena has struck out just 11% (52/460) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eric Lauer has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.2 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.
Opponents had a miss rate of 30% (168/553) against Eric Lauer on fastballs last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (202/614) against Eric Lauer since the start of the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.