The Texas Rangers (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rangers are 24-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 29-21 ATS.

Rangers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-5, 4.44 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 5-3, 2.52 ERA

Rangers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+18.60 Units / 266% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+19.10 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+15.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+14.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 47 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 23 away games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 33 games (+24.60 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games (+19.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 33 games (+18.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games (+15.55 Units / 41% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-31 against the Run Line (-15.9 Units / -25.18% ROI).

• 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -13.84% ROI
• 20-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -19.64% ROI
• 28-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 11% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 29-21 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 16.75% ROI).

• 36-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.85 Units / 19.24% ROI
• 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 1.46% ROI
• 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -10.43% ROI

Phillies vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (17/26) against Andrew Heaney on low breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (21/37) against Andrew Heaney on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (19/34) against Andrew Heaney on sliders this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .283 (108-for-381) against Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .228 — sixth Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (435/1,034) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .157 (17 Total Bases / 108 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (533/1,248) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .081 (11-for-135) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 98th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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