Today’s Pitcher Prop Picks For July 20
WagerTalk MLB player prop Expert Andy Lang provides his MLB pitcher prop picks and predictions for Thursday, July 20 with odds provided by DraftKings. Get his best pitcher prop picks before first pitch!
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Pitcher Prop Prediction 1: Steven Matz Under 15.5 Outs (-105)
St Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Steven Matz is having a forgettable season with an 0-7 record, 4.86 ERA and 1.51 WHIP across 76 innings of work.
He has fallen short of 16+ outs recorded in his last four starts. Matz was used out of the bullpen exclusively from late May until early July.
The Chicago Cubs lineup has been crushing the ball at home with 48 runs scored across six games since the All-Star break. They also hover around the top-10 rankings across the board against right-handed pitching at 12th in wOBA (.330), 9th in ISO (.169) and 12th in wRC+ (12th).
Despite sitting in the basement of the NL Central, the Cardinals have won five straight games and they will be a quick hook at Matz if he struggles early. Let’s ride the trend on the under for Matz outs tonight.
Pitcher Prop Prediction 2: J.P. France Over 18.5 Outs (+120)
Houston Astros starting pitcher J.P. France has been a rock solid #4 starter with a 4-3 record, 3.31 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. France has cleared 18.5 outs recorded in four of his last seven games while landing on 18 exactly in two of the other three outings.
The Oakland Athletics lineup ranks bottom five across the board against right-handed pitching at 29th in wOBA (.288), 27th in ISO (.132), 25th in wRC+ (87) and dead last in OPS (.650). They have scored only nine runs across six games against the Houston Astros during the 2023 campaign.
The Astros have needed to utilize seven different bullpen arms over the course of their last two games in the altitude of Coors Field.
Look for the Astros to lean on France for a longer outing against a vulnerable opponent. Regardless, France has consistently hovered around six innings of work and should make quick work of this Oakland lineup and record 19+ outs tonight.
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