The Western Conference Final shifts to Edmonton after the Dallas Stars evened the series at one thanks to a 3-1 win over the Edmonton Oilers. We have you covered for Monday's Stars vs. Oilers Game 3, utilizing the best NHL odds.
Aside from an inexplicably labored and sluggish opening 20 minutes, the Dallas Stars showcased all of their superlatives in beating the Edmonton Oilers in Game 2 to level the series. This sets up an intriguing and rousing Game 3, which starts at 8 p.m. ET from Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta.
The Oilers are home favorites for Game 3 and will put their 4-2 home record on the line against the playoffs' best road team. The Stars are 5-1 in enemy environs in the postseason, including a 3-0 whitewash of the Avalanche in Colorado. According to the Stanley Cup odds, the Western Conference adversaries are neck-and-neck.
Here are our best Stars vs. Rangers predictions and NHL picks (odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Stars vs. Oilers Game 3 expert picks
- Joe Pavelski Under 0.5 points (-135 via DraftKings) ????
- Leon Draisaitl Over 1.5 points (+140 via DraftKings) ???
- Tyler Seguin Over 2.5 shots (-110 via FanDuel) ????
- Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 assists (-140 via DraftKings) ????
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Stars vs. Oilers predictions for Monday
Everyone loves a story of athletes defying, or at least overcoming, the sands of time. This is not one of those feel-good anecdotes. Entering the 2024 postseason, Pavelski scored 0.76 points per g ame in 182 contests. The 39-year-old, tied for the second-oldest active NHLer, has four points in 15 contests, 12 resulting in giant-sized ostrich eggs. If those stats come as a surprise, watch him closely in Game 3.
The grizzled and weathered veteran is about as far off the pace as the San Jose Sharks were from a playoff spot. His painful-to-watch on-ice issues haven't gone unnoticed, with head coach Peter DeBoer cutting his ice time to 14:03 in Game 2, the lowest of the postseason and 4:15 less than his 18:17 average. He's also been demoted to the second power-play unit. At -135, DraftKings offers the best value for Pavelski to be held off the scoresheet in Game 3, implying a 57.45% probability. A $10 winning bet will pay a profit of $7.41.
Best odds: -135 via DraftKings
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While scoring two points against the Dallas Stars is more challenging than eating four burgers without repercussions, I'm making an exception for Leon Draisaitl. Just ask Hart Trophy favorite Nathan MacKinnon, who notched two points in two of six games against the Stars. That 33% two-point success rate feels like a realistic projection for Draisaitl, who has one point in two games against Dallas after exploding for 14 versus the Vancouver Canucks.
Draisaitl has 12 points in six contests at Rogers Place and, with the last change, should get a slightly more advantageous matchup. With 12 of Draisaitl's 25 points coming on the man advantage, the Stars have all but negated that option by taking only three penalties in the first two games. His play has him positioned among the top contenders by the 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy odds.
Edmonton should create a few more chances on home ice, providing additional power-play opp ortunities or facilitating an extra morsel of open ice. Plus, I don't have the willpower to pass up the rare chance to lock him in at +140. Those odds imply a 41.67% probability, and a $10 bet pays a profit of $14 if it hits.
Best odds: +140 via DraftKings
Unlike old-timer colleague Pavelski, Tyler Seguin is playing some of his best hockey. Like Harrison Butker's prominence in the recent news cycle, Seguin was all over the ice in Games 1 and 2. He scored both Stars' goals in the opener on six shots and fired four on goal in Game 3. Seguin is a shoot-first kind of guy and will look for every opportunity to do so in Game 3.
He has at least three shots in 11 of 15 games and, to Pavelski's chagrin, has been promoted to the top power-play unit. At -110, FanDuel offers the best value. Those odds imply a 52.38% probability, and a $10 bet will pay a pro fit of $9.09 if it hits.
Best odds: -110 via FanDuel
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Evan Bouchard has at least one apple in five of six home encounters and 16 in 14 playoff contests. He was held off the scoresheet in Game 2 for the third time in the postseason. Bouchard rebounded after being held scoreless with one and two assists, respectively. The Oilers should get more offensive zone time at home, allowing Bouchard to do what he does best.
Bouchard has tallied at least one helper in 10 of 14 contests. The -140 odds imply a 58.33% probability, and a $10 winning bet pays a profit of $7.14.
Best odds: -140 via DraftKings
Stars vs. Oilers Game 3 info & odds
- When: Monday, May 27
- Puck drop: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta
- How to watch: TNT, Sportsnet
- Favorite: Oilers (-125 via BetMGM)
Stars-Oilers predictions made Su nday at 10 a.m. ET.
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