The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 43-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 69-36 ATS.
Pirates vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s matchup with 70.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Orioles vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Orioles vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Orioles vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -145 |
| Mitch Keller | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 55-50 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -1.06% ROI).
- 43-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.73% ROI
- 45-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -11.98% ROI
- 54-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 3.91% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 69-36 against the Run Line (+25.85 Units / 18.62% ROI).
- 54-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.4 Units / 19.58% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -5.76% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.49% ROI
Mitch Keller: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .421 (166-for-394) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 0 Percentile.
The average home run distance against Mitch Keller against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 385.7 feet — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .408 (213 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 0 Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .373 (902 PA’s) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 16th — the longest active streak is 6.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (11/21) against Dean Kremer against right-handed batters — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — ninth Percentile.