The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Phillies are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 8-4 ATS.

Phillies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 1-1, 5.79 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 0-0, 4.16 ERA

Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Zack Wheeler has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 68% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 77% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 76% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -11.07% ROI).

• 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -19.17% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -13.17% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 4.56% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 32.78% ROI).

• 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 8.61% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -17.37% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 13.38% ROI

Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Nola threw his curveball 36% of the time (205/565) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has allowed a slugging percentage of .810 (17 Total Bases / 21 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — second Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (15/46) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (349/1,110) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lance Lynn had an ERA of 5.64 (183.2 IP)in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.84 — fourth Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed 47 home runs since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed 16 home runs with two-strikes since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.676 (15 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .750 — second Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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