Dodgers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10
Dodgers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 10

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+150) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Dodgers are 10-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-6 ATS.

Dodgers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-1, 5.88 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-0, 4.50 ERA

Dodgers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+16.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 85% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 74 away games (+18.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)

  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.54 Units / -3.48% ROI).

  • 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 11.03% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.62 Units / 29.85% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -37.61% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-6 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -22.46% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -40.72% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -36.84% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 31.38% ROI

Twins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Muncy 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Smith 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Buxton 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Ohtani 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Lux 0.5 +850 0.5 -1600

Twins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paddack 4.5 -125 4.5 -105

Bobby Miller has a strikeout rate of 44% (14 SO in 32 PAs) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.9 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .120 (10-for-83) against Bobby Miller’s changeup since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .181 against Bobby Miller since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Paddack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 40% (6/15) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Chris Paddack has located his changeup inside 53% of the time (16/30) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Chris Paddack this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (6/37) against Chris Paddack this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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