The San Diego Padres (-155) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+130) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Padres vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 11-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 14-8 ATS.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+18.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.65 Units / 56% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.70 Units / 75% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.60 Units / 101% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 55% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+2.45 Units / 16% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.95 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 71% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 11-12 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -9.83% ROI).

• 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -16.22% ROI
• 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -12.89% ROI
• 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 4.19% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 14-8 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 15.65% ROI).

• 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 26.74% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 4.29% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -12.08% ROI

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .184 (477 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 93rd Percentile.

Yu Darvish allowed an OBP of just .067 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 11% (36/326) against Yu Darvish since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 23% (3/13) against Yu Darvish — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 45% (29/64) against Drey Jameson this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 99th Percentile.

Drey Jameson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (31/67) this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Drey Jameson has allowed a slugging percentage of .520 (13 Total Bases / 25 ABs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .236 — fourth Percentile.

  
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