Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 23
Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 23

The New York Mets (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Mets vs Giants Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 14-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 8-12 ATS.

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Luis Guillorme has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+8.15 Units / 136% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)

Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500
Starling Marte 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Mark Canha 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Starling Marte 1.5 +145 1.5 -190
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Mark Canha 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Starling Marte 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Mark Canha 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +130 0.5 -165

Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tylor Megill 4.5 -115 4.5 -115
Ross Stripling 3.5 -115 3.5 -115

  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 18.18% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 16.24% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -13.47% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.02% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 8-12 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -22.42% ROI).

  • 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -34.17% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 4.98% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -13.67% ROI

Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 39% (26/67) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 57% (205/358) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Tylor Megill allowed a batting average of just .163 vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .324 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.

Tylor Megill allowed a batting average of just .163 vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .324 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ross Stripling has allowed 6 home runs this season — most among qualified RPs in MLB* — 100th Percentile.

Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .784 (29 Total Bases / 37 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .371 — fourth Percentile.

Ross Stripling has allowed an OPS of 1.005 (55 PA’s) this season — 15th highest among among 242 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .686 — sixth Percentile.

  
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