The Baltimore Orioles (-250) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+200) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Orioles are 29-18 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 23-27 ATS.

Orioles vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 4-1, 3.18 ERA
• White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger 0-2, 5.41 ERA

Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 77.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+17.35 Units / 91% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 48% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.55 Units / 83% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+15.10 Units / 108% ROI)
• Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 101% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 38 games (+2.85 Units / 6% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 23-24 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 4.93% ROI).

• 29-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 4.69% ROI
• 23-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 6.64% ROI
• 18-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -14.86% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 23-27 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -13.1% ROI).

• 15-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -27.93% ROI
• 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -12.42% ROI
• 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 3.82% ROI

White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Grayson Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 41% (17 SO in 42 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (38/87) against Grayson Rodriguez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .447 (34-for-76) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .348 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 36% (36/100) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (45/156) against Mike Clevinger in two-strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (9/64) against Mike Clevinger on changeups since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .248 (28-for-113) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 98th Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has averaged 79.6 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 85.0 — fourth Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

  
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