Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23

The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Blue Jays are 22-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 21-28 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 2-3, 4.89 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-3, 3.86 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 32 games (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Mark Canha has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 22-26 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -13.77% ROI).

  • 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -13.77% ROI
  • 20-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -20.65% ROI
  • 28-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 10.74% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 21-28 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -14.4% ROI).

  • 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -9.36% ROI
  • 25-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 10.41% ROI
  • 18-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -19.61% ROI

Tigers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Tigers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Tigers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Tigers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jack Flaherty (DET) 5.5 -135 5.5 +100
Kevin Gausman (TOR) 5.5 -115 5.5 -115

Opponents are hitting .320 (32-for-100) against Kevin Gausman when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .192 — 0 Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (418/556) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 33% (117 SO in 360 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 34% (214 SO in 639 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (145/404) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (34/71) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (72/205) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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