The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Orioles vs Reds Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 51-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 48-52 ATS.

Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s matchup with 71.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+17.10 Units / 44% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+14.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 54 games (+18.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 58 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 81 games (+23.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 81 games (+22.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 63 games (+7.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+15.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 43% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 65-36 against the Run Line (+21.85 Units / 16.52% ROI).

• 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.35 Units / 17.43% ROI
• 46-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -7.81% ROI
• 51-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.35% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-52 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -7.69% ROI).

• 39-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -11.27% ROI
• 54-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 3.71% ROI
• 45-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -13.28% ROI

Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .278 (30-for-108) against Austin Voth with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .158 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .517 (31-for-60) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .221 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .371 (46-for-124) against Austin Voth this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .705 (114 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .471 — first Percentile.

Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 49% of Nick Lodolo’s pitches (56/115) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .424 (85 PA’s) this month (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .308 — third Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 60% (212/355) this month (4 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Nick Lodolo allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (4 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters — 4th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .420 — 95th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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