The Seattle Mariners (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Mariners vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 55-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 53-49 ATS.

Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 72.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 36 away games (+18.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 48 games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 53% ROI)
• Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 away games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 46 games at home (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 55% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 61% ROI)
• Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 52% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)

Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+19.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 89 games (+19.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+17.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 86 games (+12.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 83 games (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-51 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -5.82% ROI).

• 55-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 7.28% ROI
• 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -7.41% ROI
• 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.79% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 53-49 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 4.88% ROI).

• 66-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 4.88% ROI
• 38-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.45 Units / -23.78% ROI
• 60-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.95 Units / 15.81% ROI

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has walked 10 of 291 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 4 of 147 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

George Kirby has a strike rate of 70% (416/594) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed an OBP of just .224 (147 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 97th Percentile.

Jacob Odorizzi: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (603/1,339) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (18/71) against Jake Odorizzi this month (4 games) — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (6/34) against Jake Odorizzi this month (4 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi since the start of last season is 386.5 feet — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 399.4

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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