The Baltimore Orioles (+140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-165) on Monday, August 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Orioles vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 51-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 59-42 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 69.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+16.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games at home (+18.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 62 games (+13.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 44 games (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 82 games (+24.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 games (+21.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+10.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 64 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 90 games (+20.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 62 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 66-36 against the Run Line (+22.85 Units / 17.05% ROI).
- 51-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.35 Units / 16.32% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 1.23% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 59-42 against the Run Line (+12.55 Units / 9.43% ROI).
- 46-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -6.57% ROI
- 47-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.6% ROI
- 46-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -4.71% ROI
Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (35/112) against Spenser Watkins this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
The average home run distance against Spenser Watkins this season is 415.8 feet — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 398.0
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (13/21) against Spenser Watkins — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — third Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has allowed a slugging percentage of just .225 (9 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 89th Percentile.
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray allowed a batting average of just .107 vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile and .353 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (eighth worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of just 4% (3 SO in 72 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — first Percentile.
Jon Gray has a first-pitch strike rate of 80% (41/51) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of 47% (113 SO in 239 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 85th Percentile.