Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 1
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 1

The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Tuesday, August 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Orioles vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Orioles are 65-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-56 ATS.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last 11 games (+13.65 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+12.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+11.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Austin Hays 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Anthony Santander 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Ryan McKenna 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Austin Hays 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Anthony Santander 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Ryan McKenna 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Austin Hays 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Anthony Santander 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Ryan McKenna 0.5 +225 0.5 -300

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Bradish 5.5 +120 5.5 -160
Hyun-Jin Ryu 3.5 -160 3.5 +120

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 103 games (+24.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 53 away games (+21.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 53 away games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 away games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+15.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 64-42 against the Run Line (+19.45 Units / 14.14% ROI).

  • 65-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.7 Units / 18.04% ROI
  • 53-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.46% ROI
  • 45-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.5 Units / -11.47% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 51-56 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -5.67% ROI).

  • 59-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -5.12% ROI
  • 44-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -16.38% ROI
  • 58-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.45 Units / 7.98% ROI

Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (33 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .408 — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (12/19) against Kyle Bradish — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 95th Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .259 (64 Total Bases / 247 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .384 — 95th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Kyle Bradish — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — sixth Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hyun Jin Ryu has walked 41 of 814 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Hyun Jin Ryu’s highest spin rate on changeups since the 2021 season is 1922.0 RPM — fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: 2626.5

Hyun Jin Ryu’s highest spin rate on two-strike changeups since the 2021 season is 1870.0 RPM — 8th fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: 2287.9

  
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