NFL first touchdown scorer player prop picks
I have to admit, this was not my favorite NFL season. My Patriots were abysmal, yet not abysmal enough to grab the #1 overall pick, Bill Belichick is likely gone, and to make matters worse, Tom Brady didn’t even un-retire. The only thing that brought me joy this year was betting on first touchdowns. I managed to cash at least one ticket every week, highlighted by Week 17 when I cashed five. My strategy was to track every first touchdown from every team and use that data to narrow the field to the better FTD (first touchdown) team. I’ll give my thoughts on all of the Wild Card games in a moment, but if you want to check out the tracker and make your own picks, you can find it here.
Before we look ahead, let’s look at the best and worst of the 2023 season…
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Best & Worst
The best teams: Six teams were in a different class this year with FTD rates above 60%, but none were better than the Ravens who finished at an astounding 82.4%. They only failed to score the game’s first touchdown three times. I cashed Ravens tickets multiple times this season. Right under Baltimore is the 49ers who scored first 76.5% of the time, followed by the Chiefs at 70.6%, and then the Cowboys, Packers and Raiders who were all at 64.7%. The great news for us FTD bettors is that five of these teams are in the playoffs and we can keep capitalizing.