NBA Wednesday is upon us and we have a 10-game slate to digest. A few interesting matchups stand out to me as far as viewing goes: Timberwolves vs 76ers, Heat vs Magic, Clippers vs Mavericks and Celtics vs Kings. The only team on a back-to-back tonight is the Celtics and a few key injuries to mention: Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love,' Keyonte George, Jordan Clarkson, Nicholas Batum, Markelle Fultz, Dereck Lively, Josh Green, Max Kleber, Kyrie I rving are all out. Now that that’s taken care of, let’s dive into my favorite NBA player prop bets for tonight’s slate, and make sure you also read our expert'NBA picks.
Collin Sexton (UTA) over 22.5 points (-105)
Yes, you can get this line at 21.5 for -140 on other books, but I don’t see the value in laying that if I’m projecting him significantly higher. Sexton has hit this in 4 straight games as a starter and is averaging 0.83 points per minute as a starter compared to 0.66 as a bench player. His median minutes output as a starter is 32.25, which multiplied by 0.83 = 26.76 points projected.
Clarkson and Keyonte George are out tonight, so Sexton is back in the lineup. The focus will be on Lauri Markkanen returning to Cleveland, but Sexton is playing his first game against Cleveland since the Mitchell trade. You can say that the revenge angle is played out, but Sexton comes off as the type of player that this matters to. We have a small sample size on Sexton, but the projection is too big to ignore. Let’s roll.