The NBA is back with another 7 games for Friday’s action and it is time to find more value on the betting market. I’m now 38-28 for a +10.0% ROI on the season with NBA player props and I’ve got another pair of NBA player prop picks Friday, March 8. You can also check out our'NBA predictions for our individual game picks.
Tyus Jones (WSH) over 9.5 assists (-104)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Recommended 1u wager.
The Washington Wizards are eyeing the #1 overall pick in the NBA draft as they have now lost an astounding 16 games in a row. However, on Friday, they are favored at home against an inconsistent Charlotte Hornets team. If Washington is to stay competitive in this game and have a shot at winning, they need their offense to start converting at a higher rate. In this matchup, it would most likely come from the facilitating of starting point guard Tyus Jones.
Although Jones has stayed under this line in 3 straight games, there is noise as he is averaging 14.7 potential assists in that span and ran into 2 tough matchups for dishing (the Clippers and the Magic). Since the New Year, Jones is averaging 8.8 assists per 30 minutes when Kyle Kuzma plays and now he is getting a likely favorable competitive gamescript in a good matchup. Over their last 15 games, the Hornets are allowing the 6th-most assists per game to point guards and 6th-most field goals made per game at the rim, where Jones finds a majority of his assists. Our projection for Jones in this spot is 11.0 and it is time to buy low in this smash spot on a line that is playable up to a -125 price.