The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Saturday, May 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Tigers are 22-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-25 ATS.

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-3, 3.97 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 5-2, 2.87 ERA

Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+15.40 Units / 77% ROI)
• Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 52% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.25 Units / 64% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+18.50 Units / 53% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+17.20 Units / 59% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+17.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.95 Units / 44% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+13.95 Units / 63% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 away games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 20-24 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -8.32% ROI).

• 22-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -4.38% ROI
• 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.45% ROI
• 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -9.85% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-25 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -14.37% ROI).

• 21-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -10.42% ROI
• 19-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -15.35% ROI
• 24-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 7.06% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .329 (23-for-70) against Jack Flaherty when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .220 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (128/361) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (28/58) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty’s K:BB ratio is 10.5 (63/6) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.1 — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (84/179) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .324 (113 Total Bases / 349 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .211 (127-for-601) against Zac Gallen when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 84th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 39% (22/56) against Zac Gallen this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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