The Washington Nationals (-135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+115) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Nationals are 19-20 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-21 ATS.

Nationals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 2.02 ERA
• White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-3, 4.33 ERA

Nationals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+24.90 Units / 415% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+17.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
• Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
• Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 away games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 122 games (+14.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 25-14 against the Run Line (+9.03 Units / 17.73% ROI).

• 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 24.15% ROI
• 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -16.36% ROI
• 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.18 Units / 7.34% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 20-21 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -8.92% ROI).

• 12-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -28.86% ROI
• 18-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -12.01% ROI
• 21-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 3.33% ROI

White Sox vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 78% of the time (110/142) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (335/933) against Trevor Williams on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Trevor Williams has a strike rate of just 51% (480/933) on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (765/1,499) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .664 (148 Total Bases / 223 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .451 — 0 Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (246 Total Bases / 408 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .435 — second Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .981 (213 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .754 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just .000 (0/12) against Chris Flexen — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

  
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