The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Cubs are 24-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 19-18 ATS.
Cubs vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 5-0, 1.09 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-1, 1.54 ERA
Cubs vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games (+19.55 Units / 150% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+14.15 Units / 94% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+13.80 Units / 125% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+18.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+14.70 Units / 108% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 24-17 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 6.98% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 16.31% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -14.02% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 5.01% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 19-18 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 3.19% ROI).
- 24-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 5.98% ROI
- 12-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -31.93% ROI
- 23-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.9 Units / 24.09% ROI
Braves vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Braves vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (219/403) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .274 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .131 (8 Total Bases / 61 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .471 (160 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 97th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 18 of 369 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .171 (12-for-70) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .112 (17-for-152) against Reynaldo Lopez with two-strikes since last season — tied for 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 92nd Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has struck out 31% (48/154) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for 9th best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.