The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-165) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Nationals vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Nationals are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 2-5 ATS.
Nationals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 81 away games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 108 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -6.86% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 5% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -52.54% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 43.43% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-5 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -33.55% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -18.02% ROI
- 6-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 64.47% ROI
- 1-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -73.08% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season is 381.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 381.6 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 399.7
Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (17/128) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.