The Cincinnati Reds (+130) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Peoria.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Reds vs Padres Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Reds are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 4-5 ATS.
Reds vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games at home (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 3-4 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -7.59% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 3.13% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -19.35% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 8.5% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 4-5 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -11.57% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -33.64% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -23.88% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 19.49% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver has not allowed a home run in any of the last 29.1 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Luke Weaver walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — tied for 12th best among among 250 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 58% of Luke Weaver’s pitches (93/161) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Luke Weaver threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 79% (22/28) of opposing batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — tied for 13th highest among among 250 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.