The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Clover Park to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Port St Lucie.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Nationals vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Nationals are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 5-6 ATS.

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 71.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Israel Pineda has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 110% ROI)
• Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Travis Jankowski has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 25 away games (+2.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games at home (+23.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 78 games at home (+23.27 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 165 games (+9.75 Units / 5% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -3.24% ROI).

• 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.77% ROI
• 4-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -41.61% ROI
• 9-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 31.82% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -10.14% ROI).

• 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -33.33% ROI
• 9-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 57.68% ROI
• 2-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -64.75% ROI

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cade Cavalli has limited playing time.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a swing rate of just 37% (112/304) against David Peterson on changeups last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 52% — first Percentile.

David Peterson threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (149/291) of opposing batters right-handed hitters last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (193/368) of opposing batters last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

  
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