The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 26-27 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 2.34 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-2, 1.77 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 66.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+25.90 Units / 144% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+15.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+15.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+12.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 39 games (+18.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.99 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 33-21 against the Run Line (+9.53 Units / 13.72% ROI).
- 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 15.13% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -12.81% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.48 Units / 4.14% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 26-27 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.92% ROI).
- 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 19-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -27.1% ROI
- 32-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.1 Units / 18.83% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (872/2,239) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (839/1,648) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (632/1,648) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 78% of the time (156/201) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .190 (15-for-79) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 — 95th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 399 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 38 of 232 left-handed batters (16%) since last season — tied for 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — seventh Percentile.