Mississippi vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

The Ole Miss Rebels (5-1) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (3-3) on Oct. 21 in Auburn.

Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Mississippi vs. Auburn Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Mississippi vs Auburn Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 69.3% confidence.

Mississippi vs Auburn Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 69.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Auburn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Mississippi Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Mississippi players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tre Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Quinshon Judkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ja’Varrius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Robby Ashford has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Robby Ashford has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 71% ROI)

Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI).

  • Mississippi is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 16.98% ROI
  • Mississippi is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Mississippi is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Auburn is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -0.22% ROI
  • Auburn is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Auburn is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Ole Miss is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .272

Ole Miss is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Ole Miss is 9-5 (.643) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .444

Ole Miss is 10-3 (.667) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 30th-best in FBS; Average: .562

Auburn is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

Auburn is 1-13 (.071) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Auburn is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458

Auburn is 2-11 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .459

Auburn’s QBs has thrown for 936 passing yards in 6 games (just 156.0 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 261.5 passing yards per game this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 936 passing yards in 6 games (just 156.0 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 261.5 passing yards per game this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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