The Michigan Wolverines (7-0) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (2-4) on Oct. 21 in East Lansing.
Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-110).
The Michigan vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction for Week 8
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 94.9% confidence.
Michigan vs Michigan State Spread Prediction for Week 8
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 61.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tre Mosley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Maliq Carr has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nathan Carter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Kim has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.27% ROI).
- Michigan is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 3.27% ROI
- Michigan is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Michigan is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 12.21% ROI).
- Michigan State is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -31.25% ROI
- Michigan State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Michigan State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Michigan is 29-1 (.967) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .509
Michigan is undefeated (30-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .590
Michigan is 19-1 (.950) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .505
Michigan is 13-2 (.867) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .372
Michigan State is 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .512
Michigan State is winless (0-7) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .010
Michigan State is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .400
Michigan State is 11-6 (.647) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 35th-best in FBS; Average: .501
Michigan State’s TEs has gained 222 yards on 25 receptions (just 8.9 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 7.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — seventh-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State’s WRs has gained 1,073 yards on 80 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS defenses.