The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-150) on Thursday, April 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Marlins are 4-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-5 ATS.
Marlins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: A.J. Puk 0-3, 6.10 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 6-13 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -44.25% ROI).
- 4-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -52.26% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 11.3% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -19.29% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 13-5 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 22.1% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 25.23% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -4.25% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -3.31% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
A.J. Puk has walked 14 of 58 batters (24%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
A.J. Puk has walked 12 of 47 right-handed batters (26%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
A.J. Puk’s K:BB ratio was 6.0 (78/13) in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: 2.7 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 49% (34/70) against A.J. Puk on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 9 of 329 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.4 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season (146 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 89.9
Jameson Taillon has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (457/655) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 19 of 737 right-handed batters (3%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.