Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23

The Seattle Mariners (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Mariners are 27-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 28-23 ATS.

Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 4-5, 3.27 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 5-1, 2.39 ERA

Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.20 Units / 203% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+12.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.99 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 51 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 25-25 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -5.61% ROI).

  • 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.57% ROI
  • 19-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -21.39% ROI
  • 28-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 12.08% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 28-23 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 13.5% ROI).

  • 34-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 22-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -13.51% ROI
  • 27-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 5.06% ROI

Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Castillo (Sea) 5.5 -130 5.5 +100
Luis Gil (NYY) 7.5 +120 7.5 -155

Luis Castillo has struck out 34% (41/122) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 9 of 52 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .512 (43 Total Bases / 84 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — 11th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Luis Castillo in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Gil has walked 14 of 81 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .154 (26-for-169) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has a strikeout rate of 36% (29 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .075 (8-for-106) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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