Giants vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23
Giants vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23

The San Francisco Giants (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-165) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Giants are 24-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-23 ATS.

Giants vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 1-0, 2.70 ERA

Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+25.60 Units / 122% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+10.20 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+13.30 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Jared Triolo has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 23 games at home (+8.80 Units / 36% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 49% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 24-26 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -4.75% ROI).

  • 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -11.01% ROI
  • 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -8.48% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 27-23 against the Run Line (+1.76 Units / 2.6% ROI).

  • 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -10.38% ROI
  • 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -5.62% ROI
  • 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.92 Units / -1.68% ROI

Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100

Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Luis Matos (SF) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Skenes (PIT) 7.5 +105 7.5 -140

Mason Black has allowed an OPS of 1.078 (58 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .701 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .353 (18-for-51) against Mason Black this month (3 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .242 — sixth Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .450 against Mason Black this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .254 — first Percentile.

Mason Black has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (33 Total Bases / 51 ABs) this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .400 — third Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 86% (6/7) against Paul Skenes — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 46% (18 SO in 39 PAs) this month (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents were hitless in 18 AB’s against Paul Skenes — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .214 — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes allowed an OPS of just .053 (19 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .624 — 100th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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