The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mariners are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 4-1 ATS.

Mariners vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 0-0, 1.29 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 1-0, 1.50 ERA

Mariners vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
• Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)
• Freddy Peralta has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.90 Units / 34% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 1-6 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -65.36% ROI).

• 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -24.73% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.25% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -4.55% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 4-1 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 25.14% ROI).

• 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 59.81% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -22.32% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.51% ROI

Brewers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert allowed an OBP of just .270 (767 PA’s) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 95th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (20/26) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 94th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has a strike rate of 71% (65/91) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has thrown his slider 44% of the time (236/537) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 96th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Freddy Peralta this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has allowed an OBP of just .105 (19 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 97th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 42% (8 SO in 19 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has allowed a BABIP of .000 this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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