Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 5
Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 5

The Houston Astros (-135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+115) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Astros are 2-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 3-3 ATS.

Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford 1-0, 3.60 ERA

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jon Singleton has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+8.35 Units / 139% ROI)
  • Jon Singleton has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 29 games (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 2-5 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -33.57% ROI).

  • 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -48.21% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -58.6% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 52.32% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 3-3 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.59% ROI).

  • 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 27.21% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -3.05% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -3.76% ROI

Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abreu 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Carter 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Walsh 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100
Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Taveras 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400

Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brown 5.5 +110 5.5 -145
Bradford 3.5 -165 3.5 +125

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (90/485) against Hunter Brown since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Tyler Anderson has the longest active streak at 27.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (86/143) against Hunter Brown on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .408 (20 GB hits out of 49 GBs) against Hunter Brown with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .248 — third Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cody Bradford has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (25/62) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.

Cody Bradford has located his changeup away 81% of the time (22/27) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 58% (11/19) against Cody Bradford with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 98th Percentile.

Cody Bradford has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (7/20) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 94th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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