The Kansas State Wildcats and Oklahoma State Cowboys play the first of two clashes this season during a Friday night doubleheader, and we give our Kansas State-Oklahoma State prediction for Friday's Big 12 matchup. Our pick is based on the best college football odds from our best sports betting apps.
Kansas State is off to a 3-1 start following its Big 12 Championship in 2022. Its only loss was a three-point defeat at Missouri, which ranks No. 21 in The AP Poll.
Wildcats head coach Chris Klieman was rumored to be a potential candidate for the vacant Michigan State head coaching job, but he's removed himself from the running.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma State opened the season with consecutive wins over Central Arkansas and Arizona State. However, it's since dropped two straight matchups to South Alabama and Iowa State.
To accompany our college f ootball predictions for Week 6, here is our best Kansas State-Oklahoma State prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State prediction: Week 6
The transfer portal changed the outlook for many teams. Most notably Colorado, which now fields almost an entirely different squad than in 2022.
However, the portal ravaged other programs like Oklahoma State, as eight starters and 18 players total bolted during the offseason. Those departures have taken a toll on the team over the last two weeks, especially when South Alabama walloped the Cowboys 33-7.
The test won't be easier against a veteran Kansas State group looking to take the Stillwater crowd out of the game with a bruising running attack as part of our college football predictions for Week 6. The Wildcats returned all five starters from an offensive line that finished in the top 45 of PFF's pass-blocking grade rankings. That unit has been paving the way beautifully for running back DJ Giddens, who ranks fifth in the conference while averaging 6.4 yards per carry (minimum 40 attempts). The offensive line and the Wildcats' balance offensively are significant reasons why they rank 26th in success rate.
For as much flack as quarterback Will Howard gets for not being a dynamic passer, he did go 5-1 as a starter in 2022 while producing a six-game streak with multiple passing touchdowns and an 82.5 total QBR. And while Kansas State lost six defensive starters from 2022, including four in the secondary, an Oklahoma State offense that ranks 129th in passing down explosiveness isn't built to take advantage of that weakness.
This is a three-star play, as despite Oklahoma State winning seven of the previous eight meetings in Stillwater between these teams, Kansas State is coming off a 48-0 home drubbing of the Cowboys in 2022, and the talent gap may be even wider now.
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Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -11 | -11.5 | -10.5 | -12.5 | -11.5 |
| -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
There's clear value to find here. BetMGM is our go-to shop as Kansas State backers because it's the only place offering a line lower than -11, while Oklahoma State supporters are getting two more points worth of value at Caesars and its offering of +12.5 points.
Don't touch Kansas State at -11 or higher, and we would be more tempted to back the alternate spread of -9.5 if the line starts moving away from the Wildcats.
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State odds
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State odds analysis
FanDuel was alone among our best sports betting sites in offering Kansas State at -9.5 briefly, coming off of its opening number of -10. That number didn't last long, as bettors saw a significant discrepancy between that sportsbook and the numbers offered at Caesars. The latter boo k opened higher at -10.5 before reaching -12.5 and then returned to that level after briefly dipping as low as -11 on Monday morning. Early spread wagers are 3/1 in favor of Kansas State.
There's a one-point variance among the best sports betting sites regarding the total, as BetMGM is the only shop offering an O/U of 54.5, while FanDuel is the only sportsbook on the high end at 55.5. The rise at FanDuel to a total of 55.5 is especially noteworthy, as that shop was as low as 52.5 on Sunday afternoon. Currently, 57% of the early O/U wagers are backing the Over.
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State game info
- When: Friday, Oct. 6 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Boone-Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 76 degrees, 15% chance of precipitation, 15-mph northeast winds
Kansas State-Oklahoma State pre diction made 10/2/23 at 4:28 p.m. ET.
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