The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 59-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-62 ATS.

Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 60.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 44 away games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+9.50 Units / 81% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 53 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 92 games (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 58 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+5.05 Units / 4% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 68 games (+21.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 58-53 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.07% ROI).

• 59-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 7.19% ROI
• 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -3.39% ROI
• 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -4.99% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 48-62 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -14.04% ROI).

• 60-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.95 Units / -10.16% ROI
• 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.33% ROI
• 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -9.65% ROI

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

11 of Cal Quantrill’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 31% (79 SO in 257 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (80/543) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (35/290) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Jose Berrios: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.50 (54.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.73 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .370 (40-for-108) against Jose Berrios on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (57 Total Bases / 89 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — first Percentile.

Jose Berrios has a strike rate of 70% (636/907) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 96th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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