Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prop Betting Analysis, Wagering Odds, Line Movements, Expert Picks, Advanced Predictions, AI Player Prop Simulation, Best Bets, and Videos (Wednesday, April 9, 2025)

7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 2.5
Shots On Goal (+120)
John Tavares (Shots On Goal)
Under 2.5
Shots On Goal (-162)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.28%

Over Probability: 45.45%

Under Probability: 61.83%

45.45%
61.83%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+239)
John Tavares (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-304)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.75%

Over Probability: 29.50%

Under Probability: 75.25%

29.50%
75.25%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+165)
John Tavares (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-241)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.41%

Over Probability: 37.74%

Under Probability: 70.67%

37.74%
70.67%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-136)
John Tavares (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (+100)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.63%

Over Probability: 57.63%

Under Probability: 50.00%

57.63%
50.00%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 2.5
Shots On Goal (+119)
Victor Hedman (Shots On Goal)
Under 2.5
Shots On Goal (-160)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.20%

Over Probability: 45.66%

Under Probability: 61.54%

45.66%
61.54%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (-117)
Victor Hedman (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-115)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.41%

Over Probability: 53.92%

Under Probability: 53.49%

53.92%
53.49%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-163)
Victor Hedman (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (+120)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.43%

Over Probability: 61.98%

Under Probability: 45.45%

61.98%
45.45%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 3.5
Shots On Goal (+114)
Nikita Kucherov (Shots On Goal)
Under 3.5
Shots On Goal (-155)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.51%

Over Probability: 46.73%

Under Probability: 60.78%

46.73%
60.78%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+133)
Nikita Kucherov (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-182)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.46%

Over Probability: 42.92%

Under Probability: 64.54%

42.92%
64.54%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (-283)
Nikita Kucherov (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (+187)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.73%

Over Probability: 73.89%

Under Probability: 34.84%

73.89%
34.84%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 1.5
Points (-113)
Nikita Kucherov (Points)
Under 1.5
Points (-120)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.60%

Over Probability: 53.05%

Under Probability: 54.55%

53.05%
54.55%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+213)
Yanni Gourde (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-326)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.48%

Over Probability: 31.95%

Under Probability: 76.53%

31.95%
76.53%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (+118)
Yanni Gourde (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (-159)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.26%

Over Probability: 61.39%

Under Probability: 45.87%

61.39%
45.87%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 1.5
Shots On Goal (-155)
Oliver Bjorkstrand (Shots On Goal)
Under 1.5
Shots On Goal (+114)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.51%

Over Probability: 60.78%

Under Probability: 46.73%

60.78%
46.73%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+326)
Oliver Bjorkstrand (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-614)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+9.46%

Over Probability: 23.47%

Under Probability: 85.99%

23.47%
85.99%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+220)
Oliver Bjorkstrand (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-341)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.57%

Over Probability: 31.25%

Under Probability: 77.32%

31.25%
77.32%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (+120)
Oliver Bjorkstrand (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (-163)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.43%

Over Probability: 45.45%

Under Probability: 61.98%

45.45%
61.98%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 1.5
Shots On Goal (-145)
Nick Paul (Shots On Goal)
Under 1.5
Shots On Goal (+108)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.26%

Over Probability: 59.18%

Under Probability: 48.08%

59.18%
48.08%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+298)
Nick Paul (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-530)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+9.26%

Over Probability: 25.13%

Under Probability: 84.13%

25.13%
84.13%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+274)
Nick Paul (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-466)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+9.07%

Over Probability: 26.74%

Under Probability: 82.33%

26.74%
82.33%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (+133)
Nick Paul (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (-182)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.46%

Over Probability: 42.92%

Under Probability: 64.54%

42.92%
64.54%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 2.5
Shots On Goal (-121)
William Nylander (Shots On Goal)
Under 2.5
Shots On Goal (-111)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.36%

Over Probability: 54.75%

Under Probability: 52.61%

54.75%
52.61%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+179)
William Nylander (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-261)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.14%

Over Probability: 35.84%

Under Probability: 72.30%

35.84%
72.30%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+170)
William Nylander (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-241)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.71%

Over Probability: 37.04%

Under Probability: 70.67%

37.04%
70.67%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-149)
William Nylander (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (+110)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.46%

Over Probability: 59.84%

Under Probability: 47.62%

59.84%
47.62%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 2.5
Shots On Goal (+100)
Brayden Point (Shots On Goal)
Under 2.5
Shots On Goal (-134)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.26%

Over Probability: 50.00%

Under Probability: 57.26%

50.00%
57.26%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+129)
Brayden Point (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-175)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.31%

Over Probability: 43.67%

Under Probability: 63.64%

43.67%
63.64%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+106)
Brayden Point (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-144)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.56%

Over Probability: 48.54%

Under Probability: 59.02%

48.54%
59.02%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-251)
Brayden Point (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (+174)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.01%

Over Probability: 71.51%

Under Probability: 36.50%

71.51%
36.50%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 3.5
Shots On Goal (-113)
Auston Matthews (Shots On Goal)
Under 3.5
Shots On Goal (-120)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.60%

Over Probability: 53.05%

Under Probability: 54.55%

53.05%
54.55%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+135)
Auston Matthews (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-186)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.58%

Over Probability: 42.55%

Under Probability: 65.03%

42.55%
65.03%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+123)
Auston Matthews (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-166)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.25%

Over Probability: 44.84%

Under Probability: 62.41%

44.84%
62.41%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-227)
Auston Matthews (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (+160)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.88%

Over Probability: 69.42%

Under Probability: 38.46%

69.42%
38.46%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 2.5
Shots On Goal (+100)
Brandon Hagel (Shots On Goal)
Under 2.5
Shots On Goal (-133)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.08%

Over Probability: 50.00%

Under Probability: 57.08%

50.00%
57.08%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+177)
Brandon Hagel (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-256)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.01%

Over Probability: 36.10%

Under Probability: 71.91%

36.10%
71.91%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+118)
Brandon Hagel (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-162)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.70%

Over Probability: 45.87%

Under Probability: 61.83%

45.87%
61.83%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-183)
Brandon Hagel (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (+133)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.58%

Over Probability: 64.66%

Under Probability: 42.92%

64.66%
42.92%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 1.5
Shots On Goal (-176)
Mitch Marner (Shots On Goal)
Under 1.5
Shots On Goal (+129)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.44%

Over Probability: 63.77%

Under Probability: 43.67%

63.77%
43.67%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+243)
Mitch Marner (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-391)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.78%

Over Probability: 29.15%

Under Probability: 79.63%

29.15%
79.63%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (-125)
Mitch Marner (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-107)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.25%

Over Probability: 55.56%

Under Probability: 51.69%

55.56%
51.69%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-221)
Mitch Marner (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (+156)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.91%

Over Probability: 68.85%

Under Probability: 39.06%

68.85%
39.06%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 1.5
Shots On Goal (-144)
Anthony Cirelli (Shots On Goal)
Under 1.5
Shots On Goal (+106)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.56%

Over Probability: 59.02%

Under Probability: 48.54%

59.02%
48.54%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+286)
Anthony Cirelli (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-498)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+9.19%

Over Probability: 25.91%

Under Probability: 83.28%

25.91%
83.28%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+214)
Anthony Cirelli (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-329)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.54%

Over Probability: 31.85%

Under Probability: 76.69%

31.85%
76.69%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (+108)
Anthony Cirelli (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (-147)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.59%

Over Probability: 59.51%

Under Probability: 48.08%

59.51%
48.08%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 2.5
Shots On Goal (-116)
Jake Guentzel (Shots On Goal)
Under 2.5
Shots On Goal (-117)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.62%

Over Probability: 53.70%

Under Probability: 53.92%

53.70%
53.92%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+146)
Jake Guentzel (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-200)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.32%

Over Probability: 40.65%

Under Probability: 66.67%

40.65%
66.67%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+100)
Jake Guentzel (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-135)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.45%

Over Probability: 50.00%

Under Probability: 57.45%

50.00%
57.45%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-243)
Jake Guentzel (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (+169)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.02%

Over Probability: 70.85%

Under Probability: 37.17%

70.85%
37.17%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 1.5
Shots On Goal (-178)
Matthew Knies (Shots On Goal)
Under 1.5
Shots On Goal (+127)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.08%

Over Probability: 64.03%

Under Probability: 44.05%

64.03%
44.05%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+250)
Matthew Knies (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-371)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.34%

Over Probability: 28.57%

Under Probability: 78.77%

28.57%
78.77%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+179)
Matthew Knies (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-263)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.29%

Over Probability: 35.84%

Under Probability: 72.45%

35.84%
72.45%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (-115)
Matthew Knies (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (-120)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.04%

Over Probability: 53.49%

Under Probability: 54.55%

53.49%
54.55%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 1.5
Shots On Goal (-181)
Bobby McMann (Shots On Goal)
Under 1.5
Shots On Goal (+133)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.33%

Over Probability: 64.41%

Under Probability: 42.92%

64.41%
42.92%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Goals (+358)
Bobby McMann (Goals)
Under 0.5
Goals (-710)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+9.48%

Over Probability: 21.83%

Under Probability: 87.65%

21.83%
87.65%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+358)
Bobby McMann (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-710)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+9.48%

Over Probability: 21.83%

Under Probability: 87.65%

21.83%
87.65%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (+177)
Bobby McMann (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (-257)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+8.09%

Over Probability: 36.10%

Under Probability: 71.99%

36.10%
71.99%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Assists (+210)
Morgan Rielly (Assists)
Under 0.5
Assists (-301)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.32%

Over Probability: 32.26%

Under Probability: 75.06%

32.26%
75.06%
7:07 PM (4/9/2025) PROP INFO / ODDS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Over 0.5
Points (+170)
Morgan Rielly (Points)
Under 0.5
Points (-241)

Line Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+7.71%

Over Probability: 37.04%

Under Probability: 70.67%

37.04%
70.67%

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