The Chicago Cubs (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Cubs are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 4-9 ATS.

Cubs vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 1-0, 1.64 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-3, 6.76 ERA

Cubs vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Hendricks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Kyle Hendricks has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Miguel Amaya has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 68% ROI)
• Kyle Hendricks has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
• Miguel Amaya has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Dominic Canzone has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• George Kirby has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 8-4 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 14.57% ROI).

• 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 18.83% ROI
• 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 27.82% ROI
• 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -35.11% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 4-9 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -39.62% ROI).

• 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -28.57% ROI
• 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -17.44% ROI
• 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 9.59% ROI

Mariners vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Javier Assad threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (148/318) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.

Javier Assad threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (174/387) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Javier Assad had a strike rate of just 61% (530/874) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 6th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (26/135) against Javier Assad on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .310 (13-for-42) against Luis Castillo with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .474 (18-for-38) against Luis Castillo this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .352 (25-for-71) against Luis Castillo this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .763 (29 Total Bases / 38 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — third Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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