The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 10-7 ATS.
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 0-2, 12.42 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tommy Henry 0-1, 5.66 ERA
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jordan Wicks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 12 away games (+3.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Yan Gomes has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 11-5 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 17.06% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -3.43% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 10-7 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 14.91% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -13.17% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -10.97% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 2.73% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Henry (ARI) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 64% of the time (413/641) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .774 (48 Total Bases / 62 ABs) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .903 (28 Total Bases / 31 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of 1.229 (66 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .717 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry has a strike rate of just 63% (251/400) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (18/52) versus Tommy Henry on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Tommy Henry had a strike rate of just 62% (218/352) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (23/141) against Tommy Henry on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.