Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26

The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Cubs are 27-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 25-25 ATS.

Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-0, 1.69 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 6-2, 2.87 ERA

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+18.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+16.20 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 40 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.30 Units / 124% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.05 Units / 201% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.85 Units / 72% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.65 Units / 13% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 27-25 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -5.62% ROI).

  • 27-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 4.64% ROI
  • 22-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -17.47% ROI
  • 29-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 8.3% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 25-25 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -2.97% ROI).

  • 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -10.27% ROI
  • 23-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -4.78% ROI
  • 23-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -3.74% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .113 (16-for-142) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .403 (197 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .726 — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .160 (50 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .231 (50 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (34 Total Bases / 249 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has walked 17 of 360 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .536 (15 Total Bases / 28 ABs) with two-strikes — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .559 (360 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 96th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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