The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Cubs are 27-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 25-24 ATS.
Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-2, 2.21 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 3-5, 5.82 ERA
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+18.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+14.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 away games (+12.10 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+11.05 Units / 276% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.95 Units / 123% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.90 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 41% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 26-25 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -7.17% ROI).
- 27-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 6.51% ROI
- 21-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -19.59% ROI
- 29-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 10.43% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 25-24 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -1.47% ROI).
- 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -12.17% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -1.72% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (558/793) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (15/106) against Jameson Taillon this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 11 of 401 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 12% of batters they faced (46/401 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .571 (68 Total Bases / 119 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .328 (39-for-119) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — third Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .456 (47 Total Bases / 103 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .305 (111-for-364) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — sixth Percentile.