The Philadelphia Phillies (-250) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+190) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Phillies are 37-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 27-23 ATS.

Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 6-2, 3.08 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 1-7, 5.89 ERA

Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 69.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 43 games (+16.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+15.70 Units / 131% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 49 games (+13.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.10 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
• Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games at home (+15.90 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+12.95 Units / 98% ROI)
• Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 55% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 35 games (+24.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games (+21.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 35 games (+20.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+18.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 33 games (+15.15 Units / 38% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+9.55 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.95 Units / 34% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 30-22 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 15.45% ROI).

• 37-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.8 Units / 17.11% ROI
• 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -2.37% ROI
• 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -6.53% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 27-23 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -1.13% ROI).

• 17-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -10.9% ROI
• 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -2.23% ROI
• 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -6.21% ROI

Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .188 (118-for-628) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 96th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .230 (662 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .195 (24-for-123) against Aaron Nola this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 85th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (274/756) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dakota Hudson has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .493 (33-for-67) against Dakota Hudson on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .347 — 0 Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (117/210) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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