The Dallas Cowboys (12-4) visit FedExField to take on the Washington Commanders (7-8) on Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Landover.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Cowboys vs. Commanders Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 18 game with 76.3% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread this Week 18 with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Commanders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 77% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Carson Wentz has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Completions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- J.D. McKissic has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 10-6 (+3.35 Units / 19.09% ROI).
- Cowboys are 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 14.95% ROI
- Cowboys are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
- Cowboys are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.2% ROI).
- Commanders are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 7.69% ROI
- Commanders are 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -34.09% ROI
- Commanders are 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 25.57% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Cowboys are 10-3 (.769) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — sixth-best in NFL. The Commanders have turned the ball over 24 times this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Cowboys are 6-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL. The Commanders have intercepted 8 passes this season — tied for fourth-fewest in NFL.
The Cowboys are undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .614.
The Cowboys are 9-1 (.900) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .439.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Commanders are winless (0-1) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .351.
The Commanders are undefeated (4-0-1) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.