Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 28
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 28

The Oakland Athletics (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Saturday, September 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Athletics are 69-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 72-88 ATS.

Athletics vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 7-9, 5.03 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 4-4, 4.75 ERA

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 35 games (+23.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+18.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 44 games (+13.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.20 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 32 games (+29.50 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 away games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 74 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 76 away games (+7.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+15.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 69 games at home (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 79 games at home (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 85-75 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -2.46% ROI).

  • 69-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -1.18% ROI
  • 75-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.05 Units / -9.11% ROI
  • 82-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.63% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 72-88 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -9.61% ROI).

  • 83-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -6.6% ROI
  • 73-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -6.29% ROI
  • 77-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -1.8% ROI

Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Cal Raleigh (SEA)
0.5 +195 0.5 -250

Julio Rodriguez (SEA)
0.5 +280 0.5 -350

Randy Arozarena (SEA)
0.5 +310 0.5 -400

Jorge Polanco (SEA)
0.5 +310 0.5 -400

Luke Raley (SEA)
0.5 +310 0.5 -400

Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Victor Robles (SEA)
0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Cal Raleigh (SEA)
0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Randy Arozarena (SEA)
0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Justin Turner (SEA)
0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Luke Raley (SEA)
0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Cal Raleigh (SEA)
0.5 +115 0.5 -150

Julio Rodriguez (SEA)
0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Randy Arozarena (SEA)
0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Jorge Polanco (SEA)
0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Luke Raley (SEA)
0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Joey Estes (OAK)
3.5 -165 3.5 +125

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (42/182) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (107/431) against Joey Estes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (55/214) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (49/186) against Joey Estes on non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (8/33) against Emerson Hancock this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Emerson Hancock did not walk any of the 20 batters that he faced in his last start — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Emerson Hancock has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (4/44 PA’s) this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.

Emerson Hancock has walked 1 of 44 batters (2%) this month (2 games) — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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