Free Daily NFL Lock Pick, Thursday October 19th: Jacksonville vs New Orleans 8:15pmET
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A pair of AFC East rivals take the field in search of a victory as they lock up in Foxborough in week 7 NFL action. The Buffalo Bills are on the road as they make the trip to face the New England Patriots Sunday afternoon. Buffalo comes in off a 14-9 win over the Giants at home last Sunday night, though they failed to cover the line as a 15.5-point favorite, in their previous contest. New England was beaten 21-17 on the road by Las Vegas in their previous game last Sunday, failing to cover the line as a three-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Patriots own a 76-48-1 advantage but the Bills have taken five of the last six matchups. That includes a 35-23 home win in the most recent contest on January 8.
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Buffalo had a tougher than expected game against the Giants at home last Sunday night as perhaps the travel back from London, coupled with the injury issues and underestimating their opponent led to a game that went to the final play. The Bills improved to 4-2 on the season and stand second in the AFC East, one game behind Miami, though they own the tiebreaker by virtue of their week 4 win over the Dolphins. Against the Giants, the Bills were held scoreless until the fourth quarter when two Josh Allen touchdown passes, the last a 15-yard strike to Quinton Morris with 3:48 to play, gave them the lead for good. The Buffalo defense came up with the final stop, holding the Giants at the one-yard line with an untimed down to secure the victory. Buffalo was outgained 317-297 in total offense, lost time of possession by a 31:24 to 28:36 margin and committed two turnovers while failing to record a takeaway. The Bills did have 22 first downs while a llowing 20 and held the Giants to a zero of five showing in the red zone, helping them earn the win.
On the year, the Bills are eighth in the league in passing offense with an average of 256.7 yards per game and 12th in rushing with an average of 118.2 yards per contest. Buffalo is third in the league in scoring offense by putting up 28.8 points per contest and they are third in the league in scoring defense by allowing 14.8 points per game. Josh Allen is 147 of 205 passing for 1,576 yards with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions on the season. He is second on the team on the ground with 131 rushing yards and three scores. James Cook leads the run game with 75 carries for 363 yards and a score. Latavius Murray (31 carries, 128 yards, two TD) and Damien Harris (23 carries, 94 yards, TD) have also seen work on the ground. Stefon Diggs is the team’s top receiver as he has hauled in 49 passes for 620 yards and five touchdowns. Gabe Davis (21 catches, 341 yards, four TD), Cook (14 receptions, 140 yards), Dalton Kincaid (17 grabs, 118 yards) and Deonte Harty (12 catches, 105 yards, TD) are each over the century mark in receiving yards. Tyler Bass is 20 of 20 on extra point attempts and nine of 11 on field goal attempts with a long of 54 this season.
Buffalo’s injury report isn’t overly long at this point in time. Defensive tackle Ed Oliver (toe), running back Damien Harris (neck/concussion) and tight end Quintin Morris (ankle) were the only players to not practice at all Wednesday or Thursday. Josh Allen (shoulder), cornerbacks Kaiir Elam (ankle), Cam Lewis (shoulder) and Dane Jackson (foot) plus defensive end Greg Rousseau (foot) were limited Wednesday. Watch for any further updates on their respective statuses leading to kickoff.
Free Daily NFL Lock Pick, Thursday October 19th: Jacksonville vs New Orleans 8:15pmET CLICK TO SEE PICK NOW