Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 12

The Milwaukee Brewers (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Brewers are 8-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-4 ATS.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 106% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.80 Units / 145% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.50 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Pavin Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Christian Walker 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Jose Herrera 0.5 +1050 0.5

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Pavin Smith 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Christian Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jose Herrera 0.5 -120 0.5 -110

Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Pavin Smith 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Christian Walker 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Jose Herrera 0.5 +290 0.5 -400

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junk 3.5 +135 3.5 -175

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 55% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.40 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 7-4 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 34.77% ROI).

  • 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 36.67% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -31.08% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 24.46% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 8-4 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 22.65% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 42.17% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 2.58% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -10.42% ROI

Janson Junk has limited playing time.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 55% (18/33) against Drey Jameson this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 53% (8/15) against Drey Jameson this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.

Drey Jameson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 34% (12/35) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

  
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